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http://carnegieendowment.org/2015/10/29/understanding-drivers-of-instability-in-arab-world/ij5k?mkt_tok=3RkMMJWWfF9wsRohvqzIZKXonjHpfsX64u8uWaKg38431UFwdcjKPmjr1YQDTcZ0aPyQAgobGp5I5FEIQ7XYTLB2t60MWA%3D%3D